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Editorials/Opinions Analysis For UPSC 30 October 2024

  1. A picture of a growing economic divide in India
  2. A collective effort towards peace in Myanmar


Context: The EAC-PM report ‘Relative Economic Performance of Indian States: 1960-61 to 2023-24’ highlights deepening regional disparities, with southern and western states outpacing northern and eastern ones in economic growth. Increasing imbalances raise federal concerns.

Relevance: GS 2 (Indian polity ), GS 3 ( Indian Economy )

Practice Question: How does economic disparity among Indian states impact federalism, as highlighted in the recent EAC-PM report? Discuss.(250 words )

Economic Contribution and Inequality Among States

  • The report assesses each State’s income contribution to the national economy and their per capita income relative to the all-India average.
  • Disparities exist: Maharashtra, a major contributor, shows contrasts between wealthy Mumbai and underdeveloped Vidarbha.
  • Intra-state and inter-state disparities highlight differences in regional prosperity.

Regional Disparities and Federal Tensions

  • Southern and western regions consistently perform better than eastern and northern States, except for Haryana and Delhi.
    • For instance, the highest contributor to the nation’s economy Maharashtra, has a per capita income of about 150% of the national average
  • Some states feel they contribute more to the national pool than they receive back.
    • For example, the Karnataka and Kerala governments held protests in New Delhi in February 2024.
  • Recent conclaves (such as in Kerala) highlight states’ demands for fairer resource distribution and federal support.

Impact of Liberalisation :

  • Liberalisation in 1991 marked a turning point, benefiting coastal and southern regions more, with the private sector becoming the key driver of investments.
  • Investment disparities:
    • Wealthier states attract more private investment than poorer regions.
  • The concentration of investments in Mumbai, Delhi, Bengaluru are preferred investment destinations.

Influence of Public vs. Private Sector Investments

  • Public investments are often policy-driven and aimed at regional development, whereas private investments, which are 75% of the total investment, prioritise profit, typically focusing on already developed areas.
  • Infrastructure, governance quality, and availability of skilled labour make richer states more appealing to investors, deepening regional economic divides.

Role of Financial Sector and Credit Distribution

  • Since liberalisation, financial markets have shifted household savings to richer states for higher returns, further depriving poorer states of essential capital.
  • A stark contrast is seen in the credit-deposit ratios, with poorer states lagging, reflecting an unequal distribution of financial resources.

Impact on Organised and Unorganised Sectors

  • The New Economic Policy (NEP) promotes the organised sector, often at the expense of the unorganised sector predominant in poorer states.
  • The expansion of infrastructure, like freight corridors, favours organised businesses, disproportionately boosting wealthier states’ economies.

Special Cases: States with Unique Investment Challenges

  • West Bengal and Kerala: Strong Leftist movements and labour activism deter private investment.
  • Border states: Less public investment due to strategic and security considerations.

Federalism and the Threat of Regional Imbalances

  • Persistent regional disparities threaten the spirit of Indian federalism.
  • Federal unity is under threat if development remains skewed, underscoring the need for balanced, inclusive growth.

Suggested Policy Changes:

  • Central Role: Shift focus from organized to unorganized sectors in lagging states to boost local incomes and demand.
  • State-Level Initiatives: Improve governance, curb corruption, and boost public investment in education, health, and infrastructure.
  • Focus on Demand Creation: Strengthening demand in poorer states would attract investment and improve the income base, fostering more equitable growth.

Conclusion:

  • A balanced approach would support the growth of all states, reducing disparities and fortifying federalism.
  • Sustainable development would protect India’s unity by bridging the economic divide and fostering development.


Background: Myanmar’s Crisis

  • Military Coup (2021): The Military overthrew the democratically elected government, leading to violence and civil war.
  • Conflict Dynamics: Involves the military against resistance groups (Ethnic Armed Organisations – EAOs and People’s Defence Forces – PDFs), with resistance controlling significant territories.
  • Humanitarian Impact:
    • 18.6 million people need aid, including 6 million children.

Relevance: GS 2 (International Relations)

Practice Question: Analyse India’s strategic interests in Myanmar post-coup and discuss the challenges it faces in balancing security concerns with humanitarian assistance. (250 words )

ASEAN’s Approach and Limitations

  • Five-Point Consensus: Aims to end violence, promote dialogue, and provide humanitarian assistance.
  • Non-Interference Policy Shift: ASEAN recognises the crisis as a violation of its charter, breaking its traditional non-interference stance.
  • Exclusion from Summits:
  • Myanmar’s military leaders were barred from ASEAN summits due to non-compliance.
  • Recent participation by a Myanmar official indicates a pragmatic shift to maintain dialogue.

ASEAN’s Internal Divisions

  • Divergent Member State Positions:
  • Pro-Action Members: Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines advocate for a stronger stance against the military regime.
  • Pro-Engagement Members: Thailand, Cambodia, and Laos maintain close ties with the junta, complicating consensus.
  • Informal Diplomatic Initiatives:
    • Thailand proposes hosting informal talks with a “Troika” (Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia).

India’s Myanmar Policy

  • Strategic Importance:
    • Myanmar is crucial for India’s Act East Policy.
  • Border and Security Concerns:
    • India shares a 1,643 km border with Myanmar
  • Project Initiatives:
    • Regional Projects: Kaladan Multi-Modal Transit Transport Project and India-Myanmar-Thailand Trilateral Highway.
  • Quick Impact Projects: Focus on socio-economic uplift through vocational training and disaster management, supported by a $250,000 grant.

Challenges and Constraints for India

  • Border Management Issues:
    • Increased instability may lead to refugee influx.
    • India need to reconsider the Free Movement Regime
  • Inclusive Engagement:India is conducting dialogue with various stakeholders in Myanmar.

Suggested measures

  • ASEAN’s Inclusive Diplomacy:
    • Engage non-state actors and resistance groups to create an inclusive peace framework.
  • India’s Dual Approach:
    • Maintain relations with the military for security while supporting democratic processes and addressing humanitarian needs.
  • Coordinated ASEAN-India Strategy:
    • An inclusive approach involving all Myanmar stakeholders to stabilise the country.

Conclusion

Unified ASEAN-India efforts are essential to address the crisis. Strategic inclusivity and a balanced diplomatic approach will reinforce regional stability and support broader goals.


November 2024
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