Context: The Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) has cautioned that overly aggressive targets could negatively impact India’s economic growth.
Relevance: GS 3 (Inflation Target, GDP)
- Fiscal Deficit Targets:
- CII suggests maintaining a fiscal deficit of 4.9% for 2024-25 and 4.5% for 2025-26 to ensure economic stability.
- Economic Growth:
- Prudent fiscal management has been crucial for India’s rapid growth amidst a slowing global economy.
- Debt-to-GDP Ratio:
- The Union Budget 2024-25 aims to reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio, with a medium-term target of below 50% by 2030-31 and a long-term target of below 40%.
- Fiscal Stability Reporting:
- CII recommends instituting annual reports on fiscal risks and long-term forecasting (10-25 years) to aid in fiscal planning and stability.
- State-Level Interventions:
- Encourage states to implement Fiscal Stability Reporting.
- Allow states to borrow directly from the market.
- Create an independent credit rating system for states to promote fiscal prudence.